Ontario Fall Economic Statement 2026
The ON FES 2026 estimates a $16.9 billion deficit for the 2026-27 fiscal year, a significant increase from the $13.8 billion deficit projected in the 2026 budget.
27 Mar 2025 2 min read

Updated: March 27, 2025
Taxpayers should plan for the capital gains inclusion rate to stay the same at 50%. The 2024 federal budget proposed an increase of the capital gains inclusion rate to 66.67% (from 50%) effective June 25, 2024, amongst other measures. However, given the prorogation of parliament between January 6 and March 24, 2025, the future of this proposed change has been uncertain.
In the run-up to the federal election slated for April 28, 2025, the leaders of the Liberal Party of Canada and the Conservative Party of Canada have both stated that they will not be reintroducing this proposed measure; therefore, it likely won’t be enacted into law.
If you need additional guidance on how this will impact your current or future tax planning, contact your local advisor or reach out to us here.
Disclaimer
The information contained herein is general in nature and is based on proposals that are subject to change. It is not, and should not be construed as, accounting, legal or tax advice or an opinion provided by Doane Grant Thornton LLP to the reader. This material may not be applicable to, or suitable for, specific circumstances or needs and may require consideration of other factors not described herein.
The ON FES 2026 estimates a $16.9 billion deficit for the 2026-27 fiscal year, a significant increase from the $13.8 billion deficit projected in the 2026 budget.
Prime Minister Mark Carney announces support for Canada’s lumber industry citing heavy reliance on US exports and vulnerability to trade policies.
Amid Canada-US trade uncertainty, Canadian businesses face growing economic pressures. Read our analysis on what to expect in Budget 2026.
The Canada-US trade dispute creates additional complexity for Indigenous businesses.
Get the latest information in your inbox.
Subscribe to receive relevant and timely information and event invitations.